Championship · 2025Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeKing Power StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

Wrexham

DWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeicester CityWrexham
Shots16 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.07 xG/match0.91 xG/match
Possession68%32%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJannik Vestergaard · Leicester City · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Kaboré · Wrexham · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Monga · Leicester City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJannik Vestergaard · Leicester City · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatty James · Wrexham · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 77′ · 0.09 xG · goalBobby De Cordova-Reid · Leicester City · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 20′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 7′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 18′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 36′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 16 shots, 1 on target, 1.11 xG. Wrexham: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jordan James · Leicester City · 36′Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.11 xG · Wrexham 1.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, Wrexham. A second useful context is: Leicester City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, Wrexham.

3.99 daysRest daysLeicester City · Wrexham3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeicester CityWrexhamBaseline
Rest days3.99 days3.3 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leicester City have a visible home split

weak

Leicester City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/matchShotsLeicester City · Wrexham11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityWrexhamBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match17 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Wrexham in 3 · 4 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.63 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.75 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.36 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/82.05 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/811.6 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/817 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84.25 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.88 shots/match
58.3%Possessionseason · 8/843.6%
5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.13 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.88 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/88.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City93.8
Wrexham18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City67.4
Wrexham63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City61.1
Wrexham13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City35.4
Wrexham64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City10.4
Wrexham6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City77.1
Wrexham27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City58.8
Wrexham35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.13 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/545.2%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.63 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.36 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots8/811.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
58.3%Possession8/843.6%
5.75 corners/matchCorners8/84.13 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/88.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.63 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.36 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots8/811.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
58.3%Possession8/843.6%
5.75 corners/matchCorners8/84.13 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/88.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.16 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots4/49 shots/match
6.25 shots/matchShots on target4/43.5 shots/match
61.8%Possession4/433.8%
7.75 corners/matchCorners4/42.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.99 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.3 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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