Championship · 2025Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedSouthampton
Shots8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.85 xG/match1.61 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Finn Azaz · Southampton · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRoss Stewart · Southampton · 58′ · 0.04 xG · goalFinn Azaz · Southampton · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 51′ · 0.09 xG · goalTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 55′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 45′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 47′ · 0.18 xG · on targetTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 28′ · 0.24 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 51′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 13′ · 0.36 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 45′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG. Southampton: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 28′Ross Stewart · Southampton · 51′Ross Stewart · Southampton · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 0.90 xG · Southampton 2.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Southampton. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Southampton.

3.2 daysRest daysSheffield United · Southampton3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedSouthamptonBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.25 corners/matchCornersSheffield United · Southampton6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedSouthamptonBaseline
Corners7.25 corners/match6 corners/match4.66 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

weak

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Southampton in 10 · 4 too close

0.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.38 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.75 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.22 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/814.6 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/810.3 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84.25 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/82.5 shots/match
55.1%Possessionseason · 8/859.1%
7.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/86 corners/match
3.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/83.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United72.9
Southampton97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United7.7
Southampton72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United12.5
Southampton67.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United10.4
Southampton39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United79.2
Southampton85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9
Southampton83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United49.5
Southampton82.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.56 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.3 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
1.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/556.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.75 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/814.6 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/859.1%
7.25 corners/matchCorners8/86 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls8/813.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.75 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/814.6 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/859.1%
7.25 corners/matchCorners8/86 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls8/813.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.31 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/44.75 shots/match
61.8%Possession4/454.5%
8 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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