Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 2–2 Preston North End · Championship

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City and Preston North End drew 2–2.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.821.43
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City and Preston North End drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Preston North End): shots 10–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.82–1.43, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Preston North End.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysHull City · Preston North End3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHull CityPreston North EndBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Hull City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hull City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Preston North End have a visible away split

weak

Preston North End's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.63 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsHull City 10 shots, Preston North End 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsHull City 5 shots, Preston North End 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG1.43 xGHull City 1.82 xG, Preston North End 1.43 xG
  • Possession59%41%Hull City 59%, Preston North End 41%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersHull City 5 corners, Preston North End 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsHull City 11 fouls, Preston North End 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewie Coyle · Hull City · 53′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThierry Small · Preston North End · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 3′ · 0.03 xG · goalKasey Palmer · Hull City · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Gibson · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLiam Millar · Hull City · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.09 xG · goalDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEnis Destan · Hull City · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 69′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 75′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 48′ · 0.56 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 74′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.74 xG. Preston North End: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 48′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 74′Thierry Small · Preston North End · 3′Michael Smith · Preston North End · 10′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 1.74 xG · Preston North End 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hull City
2Draws
1Preston North End
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Hull City · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Hull City · Championship0–0
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Hull City — Preston North End · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City8 matchesPreston North End8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.08 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.63 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession8/843.8%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners8/83.63 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/89.88 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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