Championship · 2025Vicarage Road

Watford 2–1 Hull City · Championship

Watford

WDDLL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Watford won 2–1.

Shots
2111
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.820.86
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Watford beat Hull City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Watford – Hull City): shots 21–11, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.82–0.86, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Watford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Watford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsWatford · Hull City13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWatfordHull CityBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Watford have a visible home split

weak

Watford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots11 shotsWatford 21 shots, Hull City 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsWatford 8 shots, Hull City 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.82 xG0.86 xGWatford 2.82 xG, Hull City 0.86 xG
  • Possession55%45%Watford 55%, Hull City 45%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersWatford 6 corners, Hull City 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls16 foulsWatford 7 fouls, Hull City 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdo Kayembe · Watford · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · Watford · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Ngakia · Watford · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVivaldo · Watford · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Wiley · Watford · 71′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBabajide David Akintola · Hull City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEnis Destan · Hull City · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCody Drameh · Hull City · 44′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMax Alleyne · Watford · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · Watford · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCody Drameh · Hull City · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetImrân Louza · Watford · 60′ · 0.10 xG · goalNestory Irankunda · Watford · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · Watford · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · Watford · 78′ · 0.18 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 25′ · 0.20 xG · goalVivaldo · Watford · 31′ · 0.22 xG · on targetImrân Louza · Watford · 45′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 14′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMatthew Pollock · Watford · 90′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedVivaldo · Watford · 71′ · 0.60 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Watford: 21 shots, 8 on target, 2.88 xG. Hull City: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Imrân Louza · Watford · 60′Vivaldo · Watford · 78′Oliver McBurnie · Hull City · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Watford 2.88 xG · Hull City 0.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Watford
2Draws
1Hull City
Watford — Hull City · Championship1–0
Hull City — Watford · Championship1–1
Watford — Hull City · Championship0–0
Hull City — Watford · Championship1–2
Hull City — Watford · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Watford favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Watford7 matchesHull City7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.44 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots7/713 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/745.7%
3.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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