Championship · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayQueens Park Rangers
Shots14 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.41 xG/match2.17 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Karamoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Amass · Sheffield Wednesday · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Amass · Sheffield Wednesday · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 31′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Amass · Sheffield Wednesday · 34′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGabriel Otegbayo · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 72′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 41′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRumarn Burrell · Queens Park Rangers · 3′ · 0.23 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 72′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLiam Morrison · Queens Park Rangers · 83′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 63′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedDominic Iorfa · Sheffield Wednesday · 30′ · 0.38 xG · goalNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 48′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.43 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dominic Iorfa · Sheffield Wednesday · 30′Nicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.43 xG · Queens Park Rangers 2.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Queens Park Rangers13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayQueens Park RangersBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 8 · 6 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.2 xG/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.36 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/713.1 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/714.6 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74.43 shots/match
6.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/74.57 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 7/746.9%
4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.29 corners/match
6.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday10.4
Queens Park Rangers35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday41
Queens Park Rangers72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday10.4
Queens Park Rangers19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday77.1
Queens Park Rangers68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday72.9
Queens Park Rangers45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday62.5
Queens Park Rangers31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday59.4
Queens Park Rangers54.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.39 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/543.2%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.2 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target7/74.43 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/746.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.2 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target7/74.43 shots/match
42.6%Possession7/746.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/42.75 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.18 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots4/413 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
47.5%Possession4/447.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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