Championship · 2025Racecourse Ground

Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham City · Championship

Wrexham

WLWDD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wrexham and Birmingham City drew 1–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.741.36
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham and Birmingham City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Birmingham City): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.74–1.36, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

moderate

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wrexham, Birmingham City.

3.01 days ▲Rest daysWrexham · Birmingham City3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWrexhamBirmingham CityBaseline
Rest days3.01 days3.01 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Wrexham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wrexham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsWrexham · Birmingham City12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWrexhamBirmingham CityBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match7.89 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsWrexham 12 shots, Birmingham City 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsWrexham 4 shots, Birmingham City 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.36 xGWrexham 1.74 xG, Birmingham City 1.36 xG
  • Possession42%58%Wrexham 42%, Birmingham City 58%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersWrexham 5 corners, Birmingham City 5 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls8 foulsWrexham 4 fouls, Birmingham City 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryan Longman · Wrexham · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Sheaf · Wrexham · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorge Dobson · Wrexham · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Dobson · Wrexham · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyan Longman · Wrexham · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarc Leonard · Birmingham City · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJosh Windass · Wrexham · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Cleworth · Wrexham · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Klarer · Birmingham City · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 44′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Birmingham City · 51′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Dobson · Wrexham · 13′ · 0.50 xG · goalLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 19′ · 0.68 xG · on targetPatrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 46′ · 0.71 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wrexham: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.58 xG. Birmingham City: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′George Dobson · Wrexham · 13′Patrick Roberts · Birmingham City · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 1.58 xG · Birmingham City 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wrexham
1Draws
1Birmingham City
Wrexham — Birmingham City · League One1–1
Birmingham City — Wrexham · League One3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham9 matchesBirmingham City9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.31 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots9/912.1 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
43.4%Possession9/9● 56.1%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.11 corners/match
8 fouls/matchFouls9/912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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