Championship · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
05Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayCoventry City
Shots9 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match10 shots/match
Expected goals1.05 xG/match4.94 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners13 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match3 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Allen · Coventry City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIke Ugbo · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 33′ · 0.06 xG · goalGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErnie Weaver · Sheffield Wednesday · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 86′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 75′ · 0.18 xG · goalTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 66′ · 0.19 xG · on targetHaji Wright · Coventry City · 27′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 44′ · 0.33 xG · on targetGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 3′ · 0.69 xG · goalEllis Simms · Coventry City · 68′ · 0.81 xG · goalHaji Wright · Coventry City · 19′ · 0.84 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 45′ · 0.96 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 9 shots, 0 on target, 1.10 xG. Coventry City: 21 shots, 10 on target, 4.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 3′Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 33′Haji Wright · Coventry City · 45′Ellis Simms · Coventry City · 68′Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.10 xG · Coventry City 4.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Coventry City. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Coventry City17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayCoventry CityBaseline
Shots11 shots/match17.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Coventry City.

3.7 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · Coventry City2.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayCoventry CityBaseline
Rest days3.7 days2.7 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersSheffield Wednesday · Coventry City6.11 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayCoventry CityBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match6.11 corners/match4.8 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Coventry City in 11 · 3 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/93 goals/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/90.78 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/92.5 xG/match
2.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/90.84 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/917.7 shots/match
17.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/910.2 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/96 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/92.67 shots/match
42.1%Possessionseason · 9/953.3%
5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.11 corners/match
7.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.89 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/99.89 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/956%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Coventry City72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday28.5
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday2.1
Coventry City84.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday64.6
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday66.7
Coventry City31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday79.2
Coventry City89.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday53.7
Coventry City79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.2 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.95 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/517.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/550.6%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/93 goals/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.78 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals9/92.5 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots9/917.7 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/96 shots/match
42.1%Possession9/953.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners9/96.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/93 goals/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/90.78 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals9/92.5 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots9/917.7 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/96 shots/match
42.1%Possession9/953.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners9/96.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/53.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.79 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/56.8 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/548.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.7 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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