Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Stoke City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City drew 1–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.880.81
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City): shots 17–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.88–0.81, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stoke City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stoke City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Stoke City.

3.7 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Stoke City3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversStoke CityBaseline
Rest days3.7 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsBlackburn Rovers 17 shots, Stoke City 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsBlackburn Rovers 5 shots, Stoke City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.88 xG0.81 xGBlackburn Rovers 1.88 xG, Stoke City 0.81 xG
  • Possession48%52%Blackburn Rovers 48%, Stoke City 52%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersBlackburn Rovers 7 corners, Stoke City 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls9 foulsBlackburn Rovers 5 fouls, Stoke City 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Todd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Donley · Stoke City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Rigo · Stoke City · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 28′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 9′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 88′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 36′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 49′ · 0.18 xG · goalMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 80′ · 0.18 xG · on targetSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 5′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 82′ · 0.19 xG · goalAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 71′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDion De Neve · Blackburn Rovers · 77′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.90 xG. Stoke City: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Augustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 82′Million Manhoef · Stoke City · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 1.90 xG · Stoke City 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
3Stoke City
Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–0
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City · Championship0–2
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City · Championship3–1
Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–3
Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stoke City in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers8 matchesStoke City9 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/91.23 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 4.56 shots/match
49.4%Possession8/9● 51.4%
4.75 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6.56 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/910 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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