Championship · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeMKM StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHull CitySheffield United
Shots5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.45 xG/match2.52 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners4 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBabajide David Akintola · Hull City · 30′ · 0.05 xG · goalGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBabajide David Akintola · Hull City · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDanny Ings · Sheffield United · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 20′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTom Davies · Sheffield United · 86′ · 0.26 xG · on targetTom Davies · Sheffield United · 86′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 46′ · 0.50 xG · on targetHarrison Burrows · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG. Sheffield United: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Babajide David Akintola · Hull City · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 0.43 xG · Sheffield United 2.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Sheffield United. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Sheffield United.

3.7 daysRest daysHull City · Sheffield United3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHull CitySheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.7 days3.7 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hull City favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 3 · 4 too close

1.56 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/90.33 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.78 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.03 xG/match
1.98 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.25 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/911.1 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/92.44 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/95.11 shots/match
46.3%Possessionseason · 9/955.9%
4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/97.44 corners/match
5.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/93.89 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/933%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hull City27.1
Sheffield United77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hull City68
Sheffield United9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hull City11.1
Sheffield United16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hull City56.2
Sheffield United10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hull City52.1
Sheffield United93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hull City22.9
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hull City48.9
Sheffield United54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.97 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/554%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.33 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.03 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots9/911.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/92.44 shots/match
46.3%Possession9/955.9%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/97.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/913 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.33 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.03 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots9/911.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/92.44 shots/match
46.3%Possession9/955.9%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/97.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/913 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.85 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/59 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/51.6 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/551.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.7 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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