Championship · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeCoventry Building Society ArenaFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCoventry CityNorwich City
Shots28 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals3.68 xG/match0.18 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners11 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack Rudoni · Coventry City · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMirko Topić · Norwich City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatt Grimes · Coventry City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 17′ · 0.06 xG · goalVictor Torp · Coventry City · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 5′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 62′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 13′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 77′ · 0.60 xG · on targetHaji Wright · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Coventry City: 28 shots, 4 on target, 3.82 xG. Norwich City: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Haji Wright · Coventry City · 90′Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Coventry City 3.82 xG · Norwich City 0.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Norwich City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/matchShotsCoventry City · Norwich City11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CityNorwich CityBaseline
Shots20 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.6 shots/match17 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Norwich City have a visible away split

weak

Norwich City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Coventry City have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.2%PossessionCoventry City · Norwich City50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CityNorwich CityBaseline
Possession58.2%50%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Coventry City favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Norwich City in 2 · 4 too close

3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.29 xG/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/52.19 xG/match
20 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/511.8 shots/match
9.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/517 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/53.4 shots/match
58.2%Possessionseason · 5/550%
7.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.4 corners/match
2.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/56.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/58.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Coventry City93.8
Norwich City56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Coventry City97.9
Norwich City41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Coventry City66
Norwich City34
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Coventry City97.9
Norwich City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Coventry City43.8
Norwich City8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Coventry City93.8
Norwich City35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Coventry City83.3
Norwich City28.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.29 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/550%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.29 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/550%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.28 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.29 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/550%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
2.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.41 xG/match
21.7 shots/matchShots3/310 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match
58.3%Possession3/344%
9.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/39 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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