Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 2–3 Wrexham · Championship

2–3Historical match

Wrexham

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wrexham won 2–3.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
2.341.3
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham beat Norwich City 3–2. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Wrexham): shots 14–11, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 2.34–1.3, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wrexham have a visible away split

weak

Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Norwich City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Norwich City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNorwich City · Wrexham12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityWrexhamBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match19.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Norwich City have recorded the higher season possession share.

52% ●PossessionNorwich City · Wrexham43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNorwich CityWrexhamBaseline
Possession52%43.7%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsNorwich City 14 shots, Wrexham 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsNorwich City 5 shots, Wrexham 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.34 xG1.3 xGNorwich City 2.34 xG, Wrexham 1.3 xG
  • Possession62%38%Norwich City 62%, Wrexham 38%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersNorwich City 2 corners, Wrexham 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsNorwich City 6 fouls, Wrexham 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josh Windass · Wrexham · 59′ · 0.01 xG · goalGeorge Thomason · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIssa Kaboré · Wrexham · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Gibbs · Norwich City · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Gibbs · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJosh Windass · Wrexham · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Longman · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.06 xG · goalJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJosé Córdoba · Norwich City · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 14′ · 0.13 xG · on targetHarry Darling · Norwich City · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 24′ · 0.26 xG · on targetEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 47′ · 0.28 xG · goalLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 50′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJovon Makama · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goalJack Stacey · Norwich City · 39′ · 0.53 xG · goalJovon Makama · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG. Wrexham: 11 shots, 8 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jack Stacey · Norwich City · 39′Jovon Makama · Norwich City · 90′Josh Windass · Wrexham · 47′Ryan Longman · Wrexham · 54′Josh Windass · Wrexham · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 2.35 xG · Wrexham 1.29 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Wrexham in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City6 matchesWrexham6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.51 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/612.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
52% ●Possession6/643.7%
4 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.67 corners/match
8.17 fouls/matchFouls6/68.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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