Championship · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFratton ParkFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPortsmouthSheffield Wednesday
Shots25 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals1.74 xG/match1.07 xG/match
Possession70%30%
Corners11 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Barry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRegan Poole · Portsmouth · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Amass · Sheffield Wednesday · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 12′ · 0.08 xG · goalYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 22′ · 0.10 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′ · 0.15 xG · goalHayden Matthews · Portsmouth · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 74′ · 0.27 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 75′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 49′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 25 shots, 5 on target, 1.75 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Barry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 12′George Brown · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 1.75 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 1.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Portsmouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

weak

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Portsmouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Portsmouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/matchShotsPortsmouth · Sheffield Wednesday11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortsmouthSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portsmouth favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 2 · 3 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/62 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.19 xG/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.72 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/611.8 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/616.8 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/66.67 shots/match
49%Possessionseason · 6/641.3%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.83 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portsmouth43.8
Sheffield Wednesday10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portsmouth35.4
Sheffield Wednesday36.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portsmouth51.4
Sheffield Wednesday7.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portsmouth60.4
Sheffield Wednesday72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth37.5
Sheffield Wednesday70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portsmouth89.6
Sheffield Wednesday62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portsmouth56.3
Sheffield Wednesday55.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.3 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/544.6%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.19 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/611.8 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64 shots/match
49%Possession6/641.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.19 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/611.8 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64 shots/match
49%Possession6/641.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.45 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/36 shots/match
55.7%Possession3/336%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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