Championship · 2025The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Derby County · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Derby County won 0–1.

Shots
184
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.150.32
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Derby County beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. Recorded in this match (West Bromwich Albion – Derby County): shots 18–4, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.15–0.32, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Derby County show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Derby County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Derby County7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionDerby CountyBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Derby County have a visible away split

weak

Derby County's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.67 shots/match7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Bromwich Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6% ●PossessionWest Bromwich Albion · Derby County38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionDerby CountyBaseline
Possession54.6%38.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots4 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 18 shots, Derby County 4 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotWest Bromwich Albion 4 shots, Derby County 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.32 xGWest Bromwich Albion 1.15 xG, Derby County 0.32 xG
  • Possession68%32%West Bromwich Albion 68%, Derby County 32%
  • Corners11 corners0 cornersWest Bromwich Albion 11 corners, Derby County 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsWest Bromwich Albion 8 fouls, Derby County 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ben Brereton Díaz · Derby County · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBobby Clark · Derby County · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAndreas Weimann · Derby County · 84′ · 0.13 xG · goalBen Brereton Díaz · Derby County · 50′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.17 xG. Derby County: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Andreas Weimann · Derby County · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.17 xG · Derby County 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0West Bromwich Albion
1Draws
3Derby County
West Bromwich Albion — Derby County · Championship1–3
Derby County — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1
Derby County — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0
West Bromwich Albion — Derby County · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Derby County in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion5 matchesDerby County5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.83 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/57 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession5/538.8%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners5/53.2 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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