PitchMath
Championship · 2025Pride Park Stadium

Derby County 0–1 Preston North End · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Preston North End won 0–1.

Shots
710
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.340.9
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End beat Derby County 1–0. Recorded in this match (Derby County – Preston North End): shots 7–10, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.34–0.9, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Derby County show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Derby County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsDerby County · Preston North End9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountyPreston North EndBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Preston North End have a visible away split

weak

Preston North End's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsDerby County 7 shots, Preston North End 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsDerby County 2 shots, Preston North End 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.34 xG0.9 xGDerby County 0.34 xG, Preston North End 0.9 xG
  • Possession48%52%Derby County 48%, Preston North End 52%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersDerby County 3 corners, Preston North End 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsDerby County 10 fouls, Preston North End 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ben Whiteman · Preston North End · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBobby Clark · Derby County · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Derby County · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Derby County · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThierry Small · Preston North End · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCraig Forsyth · Derby County · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Derby County · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatrick Agyemang · Derby County · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 29′ · 0.08 xG · goalPatrick Agyemang · Derby County · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 88′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 42′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Derby County: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.32 xG. Preston North End: 10 shots, 6 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Alfie Devine · Preston North End · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Derby County 0.32 xG · Preston North End 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Derby County
2Draws
0Preston North End
Derby County — Preston North End · Championship2–0
Preston North End — Derby County · Championship1–1
Derby County — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Derby County · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County6 matchesPreston North End6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.14 xG/match
7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 9.5 shots/match
2.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/6● 43.7%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDerby CountyPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headDerby County — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required