PitchMath
Championship · 2025Racecourse Ground

Wrexham 1–3 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 1–3.

Shots
2115
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
2.021.43
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Wrexham 3–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Queens Park Rangers): shots 21–15, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 2.02–1.43, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsWrexham · Queens Park Rangers12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWrexhamQueens Park RangersBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against20.2 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Wrexham have a visible home split

weak

Wrexham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots15 shotsWrexham 21 shots, Queens Park Rangers 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsWrexham 8 shots, Queens Park Rangers 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG1.43 xGWrexham 2.02 xG, Queens Park Rangers 1.43 xG
  • Possession61%39%Wrexham 61%, Queens Park Rangers 39%
  • Corners12 corners9 cornersWrexham 12 corners, Queens Park Rangers 9 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls10 foulsWrexham 5 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham5 matchesQueens Park Rangers5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.98 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/5● 48.6%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWrexhamQueens Park Rangers
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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