Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham · Championship

0–2Historical match

Wrexham

LDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wrexham won 0–2.

Shots
127
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.660.67
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham beat Blackburn Rovers 2–0. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham): shots 12–7, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.66–0.67, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wrexham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wrexham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wrexham have a visible away split

strong

Wrexham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.17 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.17 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Wrexham.

2.7 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Wrexham2.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversWrexhamBaseline
Rest days2.7 days2.7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsBlackburn Rovers 12 shots, Wrexham 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsBlackburn Rovers 1 shot, Wrexham 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG0.67 xGBlackburn Rovers 0.66 xG, Wrexham 0.67 xG
  • Possession53%47%Blackburn Rovers 53%, Wrexham 47%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersBlackburn Rovers 4 corners, Wrexham 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsBlackburn Rovers 14 fouls, Wrexham 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dan Scarr · Wrexham · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Litherland · Blackburn Rovers · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Longman · Wrexham · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 38′ · 0.05 xG · goalSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 11′ · 0.08 xG · goalTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 21′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 57′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.64 xG. Wrexham: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Sam Smith · Wrexham · 11′Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.64 xG · Wrexham 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Blackburn Rovers
1Draws
0Wrexham
Wrexham — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Wrexham in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers24 matchesWrexham25 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/251.24 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/251.27 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots23/2410.9 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target23/24▲ 3.75 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession23/2446.1%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners23/244.46 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls23/239.48 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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