Championship · 2025Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayBlackburn Rovers
Shots5 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.47 xG/match0.81 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Bailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Litherland · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Litherland · Blackburn Rovers · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarvis Thornton · Sheffield Wednesday · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 6′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 28′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Otegbayo · Sheffield Wednesday · 86′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.48 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0.48 xG · Blackburn Rovers 0.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Blackburn Rovers. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Blackburn Rovers.

3.2 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · Blackburn Rovers3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayBlackburn RoversBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/matchShotsSheffield Wednesday · Blackburn Rovers12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayBlackburn RoversBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 11 · 3 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/230.96 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.13 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.42 xG/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.06 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2212.5 shots/match
15.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2211.3 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/223.55 shots/match
6.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/223.27 shots/match
46.7%Possessionseason · 22/2249.2%
4.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.86 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/224.41 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2211.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2330%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday35.4
Blackburn Rovers43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday3.5
Blackburn Rovers27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday3.5
Blackburn Rovers81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday10.4
Blackburn Rovers47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday56.2
Blackburn Rovers81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday35.4
Blackburn Rovers85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday25
Blackburn Rovers59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.48 xG/match
7 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
1.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/549.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.29 xG/match
8.9 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.2 shots/match
48.3%Possession10/1050.1%
4 corners/matchCorners10/107.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored23/230.96 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.13 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.42 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots22/2212.5 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target22/223.55 shots/match
46.7%Possession22/2249.2%
4.82 corners/matchCorners22/225.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls21/2211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
0.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/120.92 goals/match
2.23 goals/matchGoals allowed13/120.83 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.33 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots12/1212.6 shots/match
2.58 shots/matchShots on target12/123.5 shots/match
51.8%Possession12/1248.5%
5.08 corners/matchCorners12/125.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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