Championship · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeDeepdaleFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPreston North EndSheffield Wednesday
Shots12 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.91 xG/match0.21 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jordan Storey · Preston North End · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli McCann · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNathan Redmond · Sheffield Wednesday · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAli McCann · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJordan Storey · Preston North End · 15′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 85′ · 0.16 xG · goalMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 61′ · 0.25 xG · goalAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.36 xG · on targetAli McCann · Preston North End · 28′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.86 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ali McCann · Preston North End · 28′Milutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 61′Lewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 1.86 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Sheffield Wednesday. A second useful context is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Sheffield Wednesday.

2.8 daysRest daysPreston North End · Sheffield Wednesday2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Preston North End
0Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield WednesdayPreston North End · Championship23

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Preston North End favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 4 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/240.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/242 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/240.99 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/241.84 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/239.91 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2315.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/233 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/236.26 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 24/2347%
4.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/234.91 corners/match
5.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/235.91 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2210.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2413%
84%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2454%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Preston North End14.6
Sheffield Wednesday35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Preston North End34.7
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Preston North End61.8
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Preston North End39.6
Sheffield Wednesday6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Preston North End22.9
Sheffield Wednesday56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Preston North End6.2
Sheffield Wednesday39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Preston North End19.8
Sheffield Wednesday26
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.64 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/57.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/51.6 shots/match
47.2%Possession5/548%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.78 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/108 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/102 shots/match
45.4%Possession10/1049%
5 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 24 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored25/240.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed25/242 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals25/240.99 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots24/239.91 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target24/233 shots/match
45%Possession24/2347%
4.08 corners/matchCorners24/234.91 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls24/2210.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 11 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/111 goals/match
0.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/111.73 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals13/110.89 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots12/119.64 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/113.45 shots/match
43.3%Possession12/1141.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/114.73 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1010.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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