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Championship · 2025Racecourse Ground

Wrexham 2–1 Preston North End · Championship

Wrexham

DLDLW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wrexham won 2–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.531.07
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham beat Preston North End 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Preston North End): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.53–1.07, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wrexham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wrexham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wrexham have a visible home split

strong

Wrexham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wrexham, Preston North End.

3.09 days ▲Rest daysWrexham · Preston North End3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWrexhamPreston North EndBaseline
Rest days3.09 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsWrexham 14 shots, Preston North End 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsWrexham 6 shots, Preston North End 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG1.07 xGWrexham 2.53 xG, Preston North End 1.07 xG
  • Possession46%54%Wrexham 46%, Preston North End 54%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersWrexham 3 corners, Preston North End 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsWrexham 11 fouls, Preston North End 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mads Frøkjær · Preston North End · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMads Frøkjær · Preston North End · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Armstrong · Preston North End · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Windass · Wrexham · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 84′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 69′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrad Potts · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMax Cleworth · Wrexham · 64′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJay Rodriguez · Wrexham · 88′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 66′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 39′ · 0.19 xG · goalThierry Small · Preston North End · 53′ · 0.22 xG · on targetLiam Lindsay · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 83′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 83′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 74′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 77′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wrexham: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.50 xG. Preston North End: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 39′Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 77′Alfie Devine · Preston North End · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 2.50 xG · Preston North End 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wrexham
1Draws
0Preston North End
Preston North End — Wrexham · Championship1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wrexham favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wrexham24 matchesPreston North End24 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.29 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.13 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots23/2310.9 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target23/233.61 shots/match
46% ●Possession23/2344.9%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners23/234.09 corners/match
9.45 fouls/matchFouls22/2310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWrexhamPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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