Championship · 2025Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionQueens Park Rangers
Shots12 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.48 xG/match0.14 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Samuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.05 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKwame Poku · Queens Park Rangers · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · Queens Park Rangers · 35′ · 0.18 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 18′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.28 xG · goalKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 88′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.48 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′George Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 25′Nathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 55′Ousmane Diakité · Queens Park Rangers · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.48 xG · Queens Park Rangers 0.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Queens Park Rangers. A second useful context is: Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Queens Park Rangers.

3.2 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Queens Park Rangers3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionQueens Park RangersBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Queens Park Rangers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible away split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
1Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park RangersWest Bromwich Albion · Championship31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 2 · 5 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/241.42 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.54 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/241.25 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/241.19 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2312.7 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2312 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/233.87 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/233.74 shots/match
52.4%Possessionseason · 24/2346.6%
5.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/234.87 corners/match
3.96 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/235.48 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.88 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2210.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2421%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2488%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Queens Park Rangers31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion63.2
Queens Park Rangers60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion70.8
Queens Park Rangers46.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion72.9
Queens Park Rangers85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion22.9
Queens Park Rangers41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Queens Park Rangers41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion61.5
Queens Park Rangers47.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.04 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
52%Possession5/541.6%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.28 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
51.5%Possession10/1042.6%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.42 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.54 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.25 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots24/2312.7 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target24/233.87 shots/match
52.4%Possession24/2346.6%
5.46 corners/matchCorners24/234.87 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.88 fouls/matchFouls24/2210.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.08 goals/match
0.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/131.69 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals12/130.93 xG/match
16.1 shots/matchShots12/1210.4 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target12/123.17 shots/match
54.6%Possession12/1245.7%
6.83 corners/matchCorners12/124.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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