Championship · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeSwansea.com StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSwansea CityWest Bromwich Albion
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.67 xG/match1.06 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Zeidane Inoussa · Swansea City · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBobby Wales · Swansea City · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diakité · West Bromwich Albion · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalick Yalcouyé · Swansea City · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMelker Widell · Swansea City · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJay Fulton · Swansea City · 74′ · 0.06 xG · goalNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMelker Widell · Swansea City · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 72′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 59′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 62′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 65′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jay Fulton · Swansea City · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 0.68 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, West Bromwich Albion. A second useful context is: Swansea City's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Swansea City, West Bromwich Albion.

2.8 daysRest daysSwansea City · West Bromwich Albion2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSwansea CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Swansea City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Swansea City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Swansea City
0Draws
1West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich AlbionSwansea City · Championship32

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Swansea City favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 8 · 3 too close

1.04 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/251.12 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.32 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/251.25 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/251.09 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2513.9 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2511 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/254.24 shots/match
4.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/253.36 shots/match
55%Possessionseason · 24/2551.9%
4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/255.44 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/253.96 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2510.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2572%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Swansea City81.2
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Swansea City30.6
West Bromwich Albion62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Swansea City44.4
West Bromwich Albion72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Swansea City2.1
West Bromwich Albion72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Swansea City33.3
West Bromwich Albion27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Swansea City27.1
West Bromwich Albion72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Swansea City32.3
West Bromwich Albion63.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/551.2%
5 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.5 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1014.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
54.7%Possession10/1049.4%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.12 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.32 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.25 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots24/2513.9 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target24/254.24 shots/match
55%Possession24/2551.9%
4.71 corners/matchCorners24/255.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2510.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/130.92 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.69 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.11 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots12/1311.8 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/133.38 shots/match
57%Possession12/1349.5%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/134.15 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.5 fouls/matchFouls12/139.92 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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