Championship · 2025St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton 0–0 Millwall · Championship

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton and Millwall drew 0–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.961.49
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton and Millwall drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Millwall): shots 12–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.96–1.49, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Southampton, Millwall.

2.78 days ▲Rest daysSouthampton · Millwall2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSouthamptonMillwallBaseline
Rest days2.78 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.7% ●PossessionSouthampton · Millwall46%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonMillwallBaseline
Possession57.7%46%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsSouthampton 12 shots, Millwall 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSouthampton 2 shots, Millwall 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.49 xGSouthampton 0.96 xG, Millwall 1.49 xG
  • Possession67%33%Southampton 67%, Millwall 33%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersSouthampton 6 corners, Millwall 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsSouthampton 6 fouls, Millwall 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Taylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJake Cooper · Millwall · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKuryu Matsuki · Southampton · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThierno Ballo · Millwall · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Fellows · Southampton · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJay Robinson · Southampton · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Stephens · Southampton · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFemi Azeez · Millwall · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Southampton · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · Southampton · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaspar Jander · Southampton · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMacaulay Langstaff · Millwall · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Leonard · Millwall · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThierno Ballo · Millwall · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCamiel Neghli · Millwall · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedThierno Ballo · Millwall · 17′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRyan Leonard · Millwall · 2′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Southampton · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 26′ · 0.28 xG · on targetThierno Ballo · Millwall · 78′ · 0.58 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.97 xG. Millwall: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.97 xG · Millwall 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Southampton
0Draws
2Millwall
Millwall — Southampton · Championship3–2
Southampton — Millwall · Championship1–2
Millwall — Southampton · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Millwall in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton25 matchesMillwall25 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.2 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.3 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.83 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession24/2446%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners24/245.13 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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