PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude vs Botafogo-SP · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.181.12
Expected goals
1.131.12
Shots
12.912.7
Possession
50.4%48.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 0 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude33 matchesBotafogo-SP33 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.12 goals/match
0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.15 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals33/321.12 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots33/3112.7 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/313.55 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession33/3148.9%
4.21 corners/matchCorners33/31● 6.42 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3115.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventude
0Draws
2Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Juventude · Serie B4–2
Botafogo-SP — Juventude · Serie B0–2
Juventude — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headJuventude — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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