PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense vs Cuiabá · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Cuiabá

WLWDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.240.97
Expected goals
1.431.25
Shots
15.213.8
Possession
49.2%49.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atletico Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: cuiaba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atletico Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiaba have a visible away split

moderate

Cuiaba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense33 matchesCuiabá33 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.97 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.76 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/321.25 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots33/3213.8 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target33/324.22 shots/match
49.2%Possession33/32● 49.4%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners33/325.53 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3214.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Goianiense
4Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–1
Cuiabá — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B2–2
Atlético Goianiense — Cuiabá · Serie B1–1
Atlético Goianiense — Cuiabá · Serie A0–0
Cuiabá — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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