PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB vs Ceará · Serie B

CRB

LWLWD
vsPre-match analysis

Ceará

WDWWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.551.06
Expected goals
1.511.07
Shots
19.313.7
Possession
51.8%51.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: CRB's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five shots average is above their season average.

24.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots24.5 shots/match19.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Ceara13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBCearaBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Ceará in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB33 matchesCeará33 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.06 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.07 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.7 shots/match
6.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.26 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession31/3151.2%
5.45 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.58 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CRB
1Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — CRB · Serie B0–1
CRB — Ceará · Serie B0–2
Ceará — CRB · Serie B2–2
CRB — Ceará · Serie B2–0
Ceará — CRB · Serie B1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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