Serie B · 2026

Criciúma vs Novorizontino · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.031.79
Expected goals
1.141.67
Shots
14.416.1
Possession
54%47.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: criciuma's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: novorizontino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Criciuma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciuma's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Novorizontino have a visible away split

moderate

Novorizontino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.94 corners/match ●CornersCriciuma · Novorizontino6.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCriciumaNovorizontinoBaseline
Corners6.94 corners/match6.29 corners/match5.38 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma33 matchesNovorizontino33 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.79 goals/match
0.85 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.85 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals33/31▲ 1.67 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots32/31▲ 16.1 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target32/31▲ 5.77 shots/match
54% ●Possession32/3147.6%
6.94 corners/match ●Corners32/316.29 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls32/3113.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Criciúma
1Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Criciúma · Serie B0–1
Criciúma — Novorizontino · Serie B2–0
Novorizontino — Criciúma · Serie B1–1
Novorizontino — Criciúma · Serie B2–0
Criciúma — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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