Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC 2–0 Londrina · Serie B

2–0Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: vila Nova FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC have a visible home split

moderate

Vila Nova FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vila Nova FC
0Draws
1Londrina
Londrina — Vila Nova FC · Serie B0–1
Vila Nova FC — Londrina · Serie B4–1
Londrina — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Londrina in 1 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC29 matchesLondrina28 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored29/281.36 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.39 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.2 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots28/2813.8 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target28/284.07 shots/match
52% ●Possession28/2846.5%
4.96 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.46 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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