PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 2–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for America Mineiro, Ponte Preta. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for America Mineiro, Ponte Preta.

4.85 days ▲Rest daysAmerica Mineiro · Ponte Preta7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAmerica MineiroPonte PretaBaseline
Rest days4.85 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2América Mineiro
0Draws
1Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
Ponte Preta — América Mineiro · Serie B0–2
América Mineiro — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro25 matchesPonte Preta25 matches
0.72 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.64 goals/match
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252.08 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/100.75 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1010.1 shots/match
3.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/103.4 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession13/1041.5%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners13/104.5 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1017.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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