PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC 2–0 Ceará · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

Ceará

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.820.39
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Ceará 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Ceará): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.82–0.39, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsVila Nova FC 16 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 7 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.39 xGVila Nova FC 1.82 xG, Ceará 0.39 xG
  • Possession46%54%Vila Nova FC 46%, Ceará 54%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersVila Nova FC 5 corners, Ceará 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsVila Nova FC 18 fouls, Ceará 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vila Nova FC
1Draws
2Ceará
Ceará — Vila Nova FC · Serie B3–3
Ceará — Vila Nova FC · Serie B4–0
Vila Nova FC — Ceará · Serie B3–2
Vila Nova FC — Ceará · Serie B3–1
Ceará — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC25 matchesCeará25 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.28 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/90.89 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots11/912.4 shots/match
5.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/94.11 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession11/949.8%
5.09 corners/matchCorners11/9● 6.11 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls11/914.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required