PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB 3–1 América Mineiro · Serie B

CRB

WDWLW
3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 3–1.

Shots
2714
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
2.31.26
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat América Mineiro 3–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – América Mineiro): shots 27–14, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 2.3–1.26, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · América Mineiro13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBAmérica MineiroBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

CRB have a visible home split

moderate

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.5 shots/match18.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots14 shotsCRB 27 shots, América Mineiro 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsCRB 8 shots, América Mineiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG1.26 xGCRB 2.3 xG, América Mineiro 1.26 xG
  • Possession52%48%CRB 52%, América Mineiro 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersCRB 6 corners, América Mineiro 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsCRB 14 fouls, América Mineiro 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCRB 1 card, América Mineiro 3 cards
  • Passes481 passes446 passesCRB 481 passes, América Mineiro 446 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.7%86.8%CRB 87.7%, América Mineiro 86.8%
  • Shots inside box16 shots6 shotsCRB 16 shots, América Mineiro 6 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks2 blocksCRB 11 blocks, América Mineiro 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves5 savesCRB 5 saves, América Mineiro 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideCRB 3 offsides, América Mineiro 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CRB
1Draws
2América Mineiro
América Mineiro — CRB · Serie B1–2
América Mineiro — CRB · Serie B1–1
CRB — América Mineiro · Serie B1–2
CRB — América Mineiro · Serie B2–1
América Mineiro — CRB · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB26 matchesAmérica Mineiro26 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.73 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.73 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.11 xG/match
18.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2613.5 shots/match
5.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/264.58 shots/match
51.3%Possession25/26● 54.2%
5.08 corners/matchCorners25/26● 5.58 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2613.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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