PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino 0–1 Juventude · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.52 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Novorizontino
1Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Novorizontino · Serie B0–0
Juventude — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Juventude · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino21 matchesJuventude21 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.1 goals/match
0.95 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/60.6 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/610.5 shots/match
5.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/64 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession8/649.2%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners8/63.83 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls8/614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoJuventude
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Juventude
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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