PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Náutico 1–1 Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Náutico and Atlético Goianiense drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: nautico Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Nautico Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nautico Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Náutico
0Draws
0Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Náutico · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Náutico favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Náutico21 matchesAtlético Goianiense21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.14 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1 goal/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/9▲ 1.5 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/913.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/9▲ 4.44 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession7/944%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/9● 5 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls7/917.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNáuticoAtlético Goianiense
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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