PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Primeiro de Maio

São Bernardo 3–4 Ceará · Serie B

3–4Full-time analysis

Ceará

LLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 3–4.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo, Ceara. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo, Ceara.

1.85 days ▲Rest daysSão Bernardo · Ceara2.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSão BernardoCearaBaseline
Rest days1.85 days2.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Bernardo
1Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — São Bernardo · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo20 matchesCeará20 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201 goal/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.25 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.96 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/813.1 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession8/849.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/815.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão BernardoCeará
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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