PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 0–1 CRB · Serie B

Ceará

LLLDD
0–1Full-time analysis

CRB

DWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 0–1.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.791.32
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – CRB): shots 20–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.79–1.32, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsCeará 20 shots, CRB 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsCeará 6 shots, CRB 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.32 xGCeará 0.79 xG, CRB 1.32 xG
  • Possession52%48%Ceará 52%, CRB 48%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerCeará 7 corners, CRB 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsCeará 18 fouls, CRB 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
1Draws
2CRB
CRB — Ceará · Serie B0–2
Ceará — CRB · Serie B2–2
CRB — Ceará · Serie B2–0
Ceará — CRB · Serie B1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará19 matchesCRB19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.68 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals8/13▲ 1.45 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots8/13▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/13▲ 5.62 shots/match
49.3%Possession8/13● 52.1%
6 corners/match ●Corners8/134.46 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCRB
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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