PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta · Serie B

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 3–2.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.971.01
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Ponte Preta 3–2. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Ponte Preta): shots 20–11, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.97–1.01, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsOperário-PR 20 shots, Ponte Preta 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsOperário-PR 4 shots, Ponte Preta 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.01 xGOperário-PR 1.97 xG, Ponte Preta 1.01 xG
  • Possession62%38%Operário-PR 62%, Ponte Preta 38%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersOperário-PR 6 corners, Ponte Preta 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls21 foulsOperário-PR 18 fouls, Ponte Preta 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
1Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Operário-PR · Serie B0–1
Operário-PR — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR19 matchesPonte Preta19 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.74 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/192 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/80.79 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/810.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/83.25 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession9/840.6%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners9/85 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls9/816.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headOperário-PR — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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