PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–1.

Shots
1021
Shots on target
511
Expected goals
0.691.81
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat São Bernardo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – São Bernardo): shots 10–21, shots on target 5–11, expected goals 0.69–1.81, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots21 shotsAthletic Club 10 shots, São Bernardo 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots11 shotsAthletic Club 5 shots, São Bernardo 11 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.81 xGAthletic Club 0.69 xG, São Bernardo 1.81 xG
  • Possession39%61%Athletic Club 39%, São Bernardo 61%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAthletic Club 2 corners, São Bernardo 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls7 foulsAthletic Club 17 fouls, São Bernardo 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · São Bernardo in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club19 matchesSão Bernardo19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.32 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191 goal/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals11/8▲ 1.1 xG/match
9.18 shots/matchShots11/8▲ 13.4 shots/match
2.91 shots/matchShots on target11/8▲ 5.38 shots/match
39.8%Possession11/8● 50.8%
3.82 corners/matchCorners11/8● 4.13 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls11/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubSão Bernardo
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required