PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR 1–0 América Mineiro · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for America Mineiro. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Operario-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operario-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for America Mineiro.

5.9 days ▲Rest daysOperario-PR · America Mineiro3.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOperario-PRAmerica MineiroBaseline
Rest days5.9 days3.83 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Operário-PR
1Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR15 matchesAmérica Mineiro15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.67 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.26 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.86 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession7/752.1%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners7/74.29 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls7/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headOperário-PR — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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