PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude 2–0 Ceará · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

Ceará

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 2–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Juventude
0Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Juventude · Serie A0–1
Juventude — Ceará · Serie A2–1
Ceará — Juventude · Serie B1–3
Juventude — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Juventude · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 0 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude15 matchesCeará15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
0.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.2 goals/match
0.53 xG/matchExpected goals3/6▲ 1.08 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots3/6▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession3/646.2%
3 corners/matchCorners3/6● 5.67 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/615.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headJuventude — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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