PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: vila Nova's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Vila Nova's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Londrina
0Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Londrina · Serie B4–1
Londrina — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 4 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina11 matchesVila Nova FC11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.4 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 15.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
47.5%Possession4/5● 55.6%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners4/54.4 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headLondrina — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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