PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–2.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.640.79
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat América Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Vila Nova FC): shots 17–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.64–0.79, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsAmérica Mineiro 17 shots, Vila Nova FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAmérica Mineiro 5 shots, Vila Nova FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.79 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.64 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.79 xG
  • Possession50%50%América Mineiro 50%, Vila Nova FC 50%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAmérica Mineiro 4 corners, Vila Nova FC 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsAmérica Mineiro 15 fouls, Vila Nova FC 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2América Mineiro
1Draws
1Vila Nova FC
América Mineiro — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1
Vila Nova FC — América Mineiro · Serie B0–3
Vila Nova FC — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Vila Nova FC · Serie B3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro10 matchesVila Nova FC10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
56% ●Possession5/555.6%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54.4 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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