PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 3–0 Londrina · Serie B

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 3–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.2 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 0 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza10 matchesLondrina10 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.14 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/411.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 4 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/4● 47.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/4● 5.25 corners/match
17 fouls/matchFouls5/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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