Primera A · 2026Estadio La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FC 1–0 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Boyacá Chicó FC won 1–0.

Shots
98
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.410.68
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chico beat Deportivo Cali 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chico – Deportivo Cali): shots 9–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.41–0.68, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsChico · Deportivo Cali15.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricChicoDeportivo CaliBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match15.1 fouls/match11.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Deportivo Cali have a visible away split

moderate

Deportivo Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 9 shots, Deportivo Cali 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG0.68 xGBoyacá Chicó FC 0.41 xG, Deportivo Cali 0.68 xG
  • Possession51%49%Boyacá Chicó FC 51%, Deportivo Cali 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersBoyacá Chicó FC 5 corners, Deportivo Cali 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsBoyacá Chicó FC 13 fouls, Deportivo Cali 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsBoyacá Chicó FC 2 cards, Deportivo Cali 4 cards
  • Passes324 passes308 passesBoyacá Chicó FC 324 passes, Deportivo Cali 308 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%72%Boyacá Chicó FC 75%, Deportivo Cali 72%
  • Shots inside box4 shots4 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksBoyacá Chicó FC 1 block, Deportivo Cali 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesBoyacá Chicó FC 2 saves, Deportivo Cali 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides5 offsidesBoyacá Chicó FC 3 offsides, Deportivo Cali 5 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC16 matchesDeportivo Cali17 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 0.96 xG/match
9.88 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 12.4 shots/match
2.81 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 3.88 shots/match
46.1%Possession16/17● 50.5%
3.31 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.18 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards7/74.57 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls16/1715.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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