PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogotá 2–1 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Internacional de Bogotá won 2–1.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.870.95
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional de Bogota beat Alianza Valledupar 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional de Bogota – Alianza Valledupar): shots 12–16, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.87–0.95, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.69 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Internacional de Bogota have a visible home split

moderate

Internacional de Bogota's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 12 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 6 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.95 xGInternacional de Bogotá 0.87 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 0.95 xG
  • Possession62%38%Internacional de Bogotá 62%, Alianza Valledupar FC 38%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersInternacional de Bogotá 4 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsInternacional de Bogotá 13 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 8 fouls
  • Passes437 passes274 passesInternacional de Bogotá 437 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 274 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%73%Internacional de Bogotá 82%, Alianza Valledupar FC 73%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 4 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks6 blocksInternacional de Bogotá 2 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesInternacional de Bogotá 2 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideInternacional de Bogotá 3 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá16 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC16 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.69 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match
1 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/130.77 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610.9 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/162.88 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession16/1645%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners16/164.5 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/44.75 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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