PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Santiago de las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira 2–3 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC won 2–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.741.47
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar beat Deportivo Pereira 3–2. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Alianza Valledupar): shots 13–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.74–1.47, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.67 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Pereira.

4.06 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Pereira · Alianza Valledupar4.97 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparBaseline
Rest days4.06 days4.97 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible home split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.73 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsDeportivo Pereira 13 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsDeportivo Pereira 6 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.47 xGDeportivo Pereira 1.74 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 1.47 xG
  • Possession59%41%Deportivo Pereira 59%, Alianza Valledupar FC 41%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersDeportivo Pereira 5 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsDeportivo Pereira 10 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsDeportivo Pereira 2 cards, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 cards
  • Passes366 passes246 passesDeportivo Pereira 366 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 246 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%78%Deportivo Pereira 83%, Alianza Valledupar FC 78%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsDeportivo Pereira 7 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDeportivo Pereira 3 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesDeportivo Pereira 2 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesDeportivo Pereira 0 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira15 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC15 matches
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.67 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.47 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals12/120.75 xG/match
8.73 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 10.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/152.87 shots/match
43.3%Possession15/15● 45.5%
2.13 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/44.75 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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