PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

América de Cali 2–0 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 2–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.831.52
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali beat Bucaramanga 2–0. Recorded in this match (America de Cali – Bucaramanga): shots 16–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.83–1.52, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for America de Cali.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysAmerica de Cali · Bucaramanga5.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAmerica de CaliBucaramangaBaseline
Rest days2.92 days5.83 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

America de Cali have a visible home split

moderate

America de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsAmérica de Cali 16 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAmérica de Cali 5 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.52 xGAmérica de Cali 1.83 xG, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.52 xG
  • Possession55%45%América de Cali 55%, Atlético Bucaramanga 45%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAmérica de Cali 2 corners, Atlético Bucaramanga 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsAmérica de Cali 10 fouls, Atlético Bucaramanga 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsAmérica de Cali 5 cards, Atlético Bucaramanga 3 cards
  • Passes528 passes422 passesAmérica de Cali 528 passes, Atlético Bucaramanga 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%79%América de Cali 84%, Atlético Bucaramanga 79%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsAmérica de Cali 10 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockAmérica de Cali 1 block, Atlético Bucaramanga 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesAmérica de Cali 5 saves, Atlético Bucaramanga 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAmérica de Cali 2 offsides, Atlético Bucaramanga 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali14 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga14 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/140.86 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/90.96 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.07 shots/match
56.1% ●Possession14/1452.6%
3.79 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.71 corners/match
3.43 cards/matchCards7/35.67 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica de CaliAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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