PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atlético Nacional 0–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional and Cúcuta Deportivo drew 0–0.

Shots
235
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.670.16
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Nacional and Cucuta drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Nacional – Cucuta): shots 23–5, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.67–0.16, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Atletico Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Nacional · Cucuta8.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico NacionalCucutaBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match8.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match17 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atletico Nacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Nacional's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atletico Nacional.

3.09 days ▲Rest daysAtletico Nacional · Cucuta4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtletico NacionalCucutaBaseline
Rest days3.09 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots5 shotsAtlético Nacional 23 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsAtlético Nacional 4 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.16 xGAtlético Nacional 1.67 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.16 xG
  • Possession66%34%Atlético Nacional 66%, Cúcuta Deportivo 34%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAtlético Nacional 6 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls3 foulsAtlético Nacional 11 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAtlético Nacional 1 card, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 card
  • Passes631 passes335 passesAtlético Nacional 631 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 335 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%76%Atlético Nacional 89%, Cúcuta Deportivo 76%
  • Shots inside box10 shots3 shotsAtlético Nacional 10 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockAtlético Nacional 6 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesAtlético Nacional 1 save, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAtlético Nacional 1 offside, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Nacional14 matchesCúcuta Deportivo15 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/151.27 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/151.8 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/110.89 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/158.4 shots/match
6.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/153.53 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession14/1546.1%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners14/153.87 corners/match
4.2 cards/matchCards5/74.14 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1510.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 2 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético NacionalCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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