Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Independiente Santa Fe 0–1 Llaneros FC · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC won 0–1.

Shots
127
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.850.6
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros beat Santa Fe 1–0. Recorded in this match (Santa Fe – Llaneros): shots 12–7, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.85–0.6, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Fe, Llaneros.

4.93 days ▲Rest daysSanta Fe · Llaneros2.35 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSanta FeLlanerosBaseline
Rest days4.93 days2.35 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Llaneros's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Llaneros show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Llaneros's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSanta Fe · Llaneros10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSanta FeLlanerosBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 12 shots, Llaneros FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 3 shots, Llaneros FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.6 xGIndependiente Santa Fe 0.85 xG, Llaneros FC 0.6 xG
  • Possession52%48%Independiente Santa Fe 52%, Llaneros FC 48%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersIndependiente Santa Fe 12 corners, Llaneros FC 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Santa Fe 13 fouls, Llaneros FC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsIndependiente Santa Fe 4 cards, Llaneros FC 5 cards
  • Passes324 passes321 passesIndependiente Santa Fe 324 passes, Llaneros FC 321 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%72%Independiente Santa Fe 76%, Llaneros FC 72%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 9 shots, Llaneros FC 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks0 blocksIndependiente Santa Fe 2 blocks, Llaneros FC 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesIndependiente Santa Fe 3 saves, Llaneros FC 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides2 offsidesIndependiente Santa Fe 4 offsides, Llaneros FC 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe14 matchesLlaneros FC15 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/151.07 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals12/101.02 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots14/1510.2 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/153.27 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession14/1548.9%
6.07 corners/match ●Corners14/154.67 corners/match
4.33 cards/matchCards6/63.33 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 2 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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