PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali won 1–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.641.07
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali beat Deportivo Pereira 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Deportivo Pereira): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.64–1.07, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Pereira.

6.18 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Cali · Deportivo Pereira4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo CaliDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Rest days6.18 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Deportivo Pereira show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Cali · Deportivo Pereira8.69 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match8.69 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsDeportivo Cali 16 shots, Deportivo Pereira 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsDeportivo Cali 6 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG1.07 xGDeportivo Cali 1.64 xG, Deportivo Pereira 1.07 xG
  • Possession50%50%Deportivo Cali 50%, Deportivo Pereira 50%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerDeportivo Cali 5 corners, Deportivo Pereira 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsDeportivo Cali 12 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsDeportivo Cali 1 card, Deportivo Pereira 2 cards
  • Passes435 passes444 passesDeportivo Cali 435 passes, Deportivo Pereira 444 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%82%Deportivo Cali 85%, Deportivo Pereira 82%
  • Shots inside box9 shots3 shotsDeportivo Cali 9 shots, Deportivo Pereira 3 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDeportivo Cali 3 blocks, Deportivo Pereira 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesDeportivo Cali 2 saves, Deportivo Pereira 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideDeportivo Cali 1 offside, Deportivo Pereira 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali14 matchesDeportivo Pereira13 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.92 goals/match
0.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/100.72 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots14/138.69 shots/match
4.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/133.69 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession14/1341.9%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners14/132.08 corners/match
5 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Mar 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliDeportivo Pereira
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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