Primera A · 2026Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atlético Nacional 2–0 Llaneros FC · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional won 2–0.

Shots
1018
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.550.72
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Nacional beat Llaneros 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Nacional – Llaneros): shots 10–18, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.55–0.72, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atletico Nacional.

3 days ▲Rest daysAtletico Nacional · Llaneros4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtletico NacionalLlanerosBaseline
Rest days3 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros's recent record differs from the season

weak

Llaneros's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Nacional · Llaneros10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico NacionalLlanerosBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots18 shotsAtlético Nacional 10 shots, Llaneros FC 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAtlético Nacional 3 shots, Llaneros FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.72 xGAtlético Nacional 1.55 xG, Llaneros FC 0.72 xG
  • Possession56%44%Atlético Nacional 56%, Llaneros FC 44%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAtlético Nacional 5 corners, Llaneros FC 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsAtlético Nacional 8 fouls, Llaneros FC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAtlético Nacional 1 card, Llaneros FC 2 cards
  • Passes433 passes331 passesAtlético Nacional 433 passes, Llaneros FC 331 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%85%Atlético Nacional 85%, Llaneros FC 85%
  • Shots inside box5 shots7 shotsAtlético Nacional 5 shots, Llaneros FC 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksAtlético Nacional 4 blocks, Llaneros FC 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveAtlético Nacional 2 saves, Llaneros FC 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesAtlético Nacional 3 offsides, Llaneros FC 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Nacional10 matchesLlaneros FC11 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/111.09 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/111 goal/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/61.19 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1110.1 shots/match
6.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/113.09 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession10/1149.4%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners10/114.82 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards3/53 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1110.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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