Primera A · 2026Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros FC 2–2 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC and Cúcuta Deportivo drew 2–2.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.990.9
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros and Cucuta drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Llaneros – Cucuta): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.99–0.9, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Llaneros, Cucuta.

3.82 days ▲Rest daysLlaneros · Cucuta3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLlanerosCucutaBaseline
Rest days3.82 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros's recent record differs from the season

weak

Llaneros's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cucuta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cucuta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLlaneros · Cucuta8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLlanerosCucutaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsLlaneros FC 14 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLlaneros FC 4 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.9 xGLlaneros FC 0.99 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.9 xG
  • Possession54%46%Llaneros FC 54%, Cúcuta Deportivo 46%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersLlaneros FC 3 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsLlaneros FC 17 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLlaneros FC 3 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 card
  • Passes401 passes346 passesLlaneros FC 401 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 346 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%75%Llaneros FC 80%, Cúcuta Deportivo 75%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsLlaneros FC 9 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks5 blocksLlaneros FC 5 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesLlaneros FC 2 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesLlaneros FC 2 offsides, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC12 matchesCúcuta Deportivo12 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.08 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/80.92 xG/match
10.4 shots/match ▲Shots12/128 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 3.42 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession12/1246.8%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners12/123.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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